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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Tampa Bay Rays

Event:
(969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Tampa Bay Rays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 24, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-113
Play:
3% – (969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Tampa Bay Rays Total Under 8.0 (-113) J Flaherty (RHP), S Armstrong (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% Under Tigers/Rays (6:50 ET): I'd love to call for the Rays to avoid the sweep here, but I continue to have real concerns about this team. They've now lost three in a row to fall into the AL East basement (12-13 record) and have a run differential of -26 (4th worst in the AL) on the season. Tonight will be a bullpen game with Shawn Armstrong opening, followed by former Tiger Tyler Alexander. While I have confidence in those two and the rest of the Rays' pen limiting the Tigers at the plate, it's TB's own offense where the concerns mainly lie. 

The Rays come in averaging just 3.8 runs per game for the season and have been held to three (runs) total in the first two games against the Tigers. Over the L7 games, the team's scoring average dips down to 2.6 rpg. All three runs in this series have come on two home runs and yesterday the Rays could not score against Tigers starter Kenta Maeda, who came in sporting a poor 7.64 ERA. It figures to be even more of a struggle tonight against Jack Flaherty, who has a 1.11 WHIP and 30-4 KW ratio in four starts. Flaherty's current 11.1 K per nine innings rate is a career best. Also, the Tigers' bullpen has been outstanding this season.

Let's also not forget that the Tigers had scored only one run themselves before busting loose for three in the top of the eighth. I'm confident that the combo of Armstrong and Alexander will do their job here and the good news for Rays' fans is that embattled closer Pete Fairbanks just went on the IL. Similar to last night's 4-2 game (which had just 13 hits), this should be yet another low-scoring game. 3% Under Tigers/Rays (Play to 7.5)

 

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