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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(957) Milwaukee Brewers at (958) Pittsburgh Pirates

Event:
(957) Milwaukee Brewers at (958) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 24, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-117
Play:
3% – Milwaukee Brewers -117 B Wilson (RHP), J Fleming (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

3% Milwaukee (6:40 ET): The Brewers have yet to beat the Pirates in this series, but I am looking for them to get back in the win column tonight in what amounts to a “bullpen game” between these two NL Central rivals. The fact we'll basically be seeing nothing but relievers on the mound Wednesday should be a decided edge to the Brew Crew, who have the better 'pen. You also have to think this offense - which is still averaging a healthy 5.3 runs per game this season - is due to get going again. 

Certainly, the Pirates taking the first two games of this series is NOT what you would have expected based on recent form. Coming into Monday, the Bucs had lost six in a row (swept by both the Mets & Red Sox), scoring just nine runs in the process. Outside of Andrew McCutchen's leadoff home runs in both games, there still hasn't been much offense from the team in this series. Since April 3rd, this is a lineup that's topped three runs in only six games. For the year, the Pirates are averaging just 3.0 rpg here at PNC Park.

So Bryse Wilson, making his second start and eighth appearance of 2024, should fare well tonight as should whomever follows him for the Brew Crew. Wilson's first start was solid as he went 3 ⅔ IP and allowed no runs on two hits against the Padres (Brewers won 1-0). Milwaukee's recent lack of offensive production has been a concern, however the Pirates are going with Josh Fleming, who is likely to be followed by Quinn Priester (8.31 ERA), and that's a weak combo. I still believe in the Brewers (+32 run differential) a lot more than the Pirates (0 run differential) moving forward. 3% Milwaukee (Play to -130)

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