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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(205333) Panathinaikos at (205334) AEK Athens

Event:
(205333) Panathinaikos at (205334) AEK Athens
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
April 24, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
1%
Odds:
100
Play:
1% – REGULATION Panathinaikos +0.5 (+100)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos
Greek Super League, Wednesday, 1:30pm ET

Play: Panathinaikos +0.5
Odds at Time of Release: +100
Line Parameter: Playable to -110

HUGE title derby in the Greek Super League, with league leaders AEK (72 points) playing host to 2nd Panathinaikos (71 points) in a city derby between two teams that are pretty equal in strength, and the odds do not reflect that. 

AEK Athens are -125 favourites, the Draw is at +265 and Panathinaikos at +360 and right off the bat, the books are overestimating AEK Athens. These odds in a title derby between two pretty equal teams simply do not exist. 

Panathinaikos are in good form right now, coming off 4 consecutive wins with 12 goals scored and just 2 conceded, beating AEK Athens in the reverse fixture by 2-1, and they also beat Olympiakos by 3-1 on the road not too long ago. 

AEK Athens are coming off an anxious win over Aris by 2-1 on the road, where they scored the winning goal at the end of the match and have now won back to back matches against Aris. But prior to that they dropped points in a 2-2 draw against PAOK and a 2-1 loss to Panathinaikos. 

AEK have a tough schedule coming up, with away matches at PAOK and Olympiakos before the last home game against lowly Lamia. Panathinaikos only have to play at PAOK, so they know that a draw against AEK here could go a long way, as AEK have two potential spots to drop points, while Panathinaikos have just one. 

This awfully looks like a draw, but we are more than happy to take Panathinaikos +0.5 at +100, this buying two of the three possible outcomes at plus money. 

Take 1u on Panathinaikos +0.5 (+100)
 

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