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Tokyo Brandon

Tokyo Brandon

(971) Oakland Athletics at (972) New York Yankees: Clarke Schmidt Strikeouts Thrown

Event:
(971) Oakland Athletics at (972) New York Yankees: Clarke Schmidt Strikeouts Thrown
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 24, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-120
Play:
2% – Clarke Schmidt Strikeouts Thrown Under 7.5 (-120) J Boyle (RHP), C Schmidt (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

Schmidt has not hit 8 Ks in any starts this season, nor has he hit t in any starts vs the A's. This is the Yankee betting tax at work which is inflating the number. The A's actually hit Schmidt well in his career so I expect a 5 inning 5K outing here. He is a 9 K per 9 guy and the A's are a 9 K per 9 team, so to hit this statistically he would have to complete 8 innings.

 

team     pitcher          opponent          outs projection          K projection     
     Clarke Schmidt                    15.5          5.64     

 

 SP     K/9          % of game pitched          expected avg K     
Clarke Schmidt     10.35          .566          5.86     
OAK     9.56          5.41          5.64     
       SO/G          adjusted SO          expected avg SO     

 

      W          L          W%     
     Under 7.5          10          4          71.4%     
                 fair odds     -250     
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