England Premier League

(200029) Newcastle United at (200030) Crystal Palace

Not buying Newcastle as a road fav here.  Palace has been playing pretty well at home with just two losses over their last eight home matches averaging 2.0 xG per match while allowing only 1.18 xGA.  They are coming off back-to-back wins for the first time this season beating Liverpool 1-0 at Anfield the thumping West Ham 5-2 at home.

Newcastle has three wins and draw over their last four matches, but three of those came at home as Newcastle has been far from good away this year.  They have just four wins in 18 away matches including Champions League and allow a ridiculous 2.08 xGA.  Simply can never trust a team to lay goals on the road with those kind of defensive numbers.

TAKE CRYSTAL PALACE +0.25

Line Parameter: 3% to -150, 2% at +0