(3%) REDS +1.5. Assuming the weather holds up, I like the Reds to cool off the Phillies in this one. These same two starters opposed each other on 4/1, at Philadelphia. Cincinnati won 6-3. Abbot has a 2.70 ERA and 1.072 WHIP through four starts. He allowed two earned runs or less in all four of them. In fact, he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in 12 of his past 13 starts, including each of his past seven, dating back to last season. Sanchez struggled in his lone road start and he has a 6.24 road ERA and 2.079 WHIP to show for it. The Phillies won his last start (by 1 run) but they're just 2-8 the past 10 times that Sanchez started. Four of those were 1-run games. Grab the extra +1.5 runs with the Reds. *reduce to 2% if higher than -150