Tokyo Brandon
(925) Seattle Mariners at (926) Texas Rangers
Event:
(925) Seattle Mariners at (926) Texas Rangers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 23, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-115
Play:
5% – Logan Gilbert Over 17.5 Outs Recorded
Result:
Win
Analysis
Gilbert is an iron man. He almost always finishes 6 innings. He also has a great history against these batters. He went 20 innings with 10 Ks against this team in his regular season start against them last season. Gilbert goes past 90 pitches most of his starts. My Gilbert over projections win 67%. My over 17.5 projections win 57%. When my projection over is more than 1.5 over the book it wins 61.7%. This will drop to -140 but I would take it anyway. Play -150 or better at 17.5. If it goes to 18.5 then don't play it.
| team | pitcher | opponent | outs projection |
 | Logan Gilbert |  | 20.2 |
| W | L | W% | |
| 1.5+ Over | 50 | 31 | 61.7% |
| 81 | -161 | ||
| W | L | W% | |
| Over 17.5 | 73 | 55 | 57.0% |
| 128 | -133 | ||
| over prediction | W | L | W% |
| Logan Gilbert | 6 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 9 | -200 | ||
Texas Rangers Career Statistics Vs. Logan Gilbert
| PITCHER | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTALS | 115 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 25 | .235 | .279 | .400 | .679 |
