3% (585) NEW ORLEANS +8.5

Line good to +7.5


Knee jerk reaction here is to grab Oklahoma City as they are rested and New Orleans had to play 2 games in the Play In Tournament and are without Zion and are on the Road. All of that is true but it is baked into this line which in my opinion is too high. Oklahoma City is the #1 seed but this is a young ball club that is in uncharted water. Do I think they win this series yes but I think this is a dangerous game for them. Being the #1 seed which they got on the final day of the season and catch a New Orleans team that isn’t at full strength might just have OKC feeling a little too Fat n Sassy. Oklahoma City beat Dallas on the final day of the season 135-86. That blowout has inflated this number and Dallas didn’t play everyone in that final game making that Win look better than it really was.  This game will be closer than you think.

KEY STAT: Play On Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS)who score 114 or more points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more. This angle is 64-34 ATS the L5 Years in the NBA.

TAKE NEW ORLEANS as my 3% NBA PLAY