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1:35 PM ET -- MLB 

909 Tampa Bay Rays 
910 New York Yankees

Play: 910 NY YANKEES -125 

List Pitchers: Civale & Gil    

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at -135 or better 
3% play at -136 to -145
2% play at -146 to -150

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play ON home favorites if they combined for no more than 3 runs in their previous game and they're averaging drawing at least 4 walks per game on the season.  36-8 going back to the 2021 season (the Yankees are a perfect 8-0 in this spot, winning by an average score of 5.5 - 2.5).