3% Chicago Cubs (-124) over Miami Marlins — 

Hendricks is due for a turn-around start here, and Miami is definitely a perfect opportunity. Even though he has struggled in his L2 outings, he has posted a 1.62 ERA in his career against the Marlins and has held the current lineup to a .229 batting average. 

When it comes to pitching though, the bigger advantage is actually what happens after the starters leave the game. Miami may have a slight advantage in the SP’s when you look at this years stats, but Chicago has the edge in the bullpen. Miami’s pen has posted a combined 1-8 record w/ a 5.54 ERA and 1.620 WHIP TY. As for the Cubs, their bullpen has a 3.63 ERA @ H with a 1.286 WHIP and a 3-1 record! 

Trends: 

• Cubs are: 
  • 5-1 in the last game of a series
  • 7-3 during the DAY
  • 4-0 as a F vs. RHP 
  • 7-2 @ H 
    • Putting up 6.6 runs/game
• Miami is: 
  • Just 3-9 during the day!