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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(979) Toronto Blue Jays at (980) San Diego Padres

Event:
(979) Toronto Blue Jays at (980) San Diego Padres
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 20, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-105
Play:
3% – (979) Toronto Blue Jays at (980) San Diego Padres Total Under 7.5 (-105) J Berrios (RHP), R Vasquez (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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8:40 PM ET -- MLB 

979 Toronto Blue Jays 
980 San Diego Padres

Play: UNDER 7.5 -105

List Pitchers: Berrios & Vasquez    

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 7.5 or better
2% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Since 5/13/2023, the UNDER is 15-2 when Jose Berrios starts on 5 or 6 days rest.

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