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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(901) San Francisco Giants at (902) Miami Marlins

Event:
(901) San Francisco Giants at (902) Miami Marlins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 15, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – 1H Miami Marlins -110 K Harrison (LHP), E Cabrera (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

6:40 PM ET -- MLB 

901 San Francisco Giants 
902 Miami Marlins

Play: 902 MIAMI FIRST 5 INNINGS -110

List Pitchers: Harrison & Cabrera  

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at -115 or better
2% play at -116 to -125

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE (H/T STATFOX FOXSHEETS):

Play ON home teams (MIAMI) - poor NL offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a team with a below average. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), cold-hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games.  28-7 (80%) over the last 5 seasons.

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