Dwayne Bryant
(901) San Francisco Giants at (902) Miami Marlins
6:40 PM ET -- MLB
901 San Francisco Giants
902 Miami Marlins
Play: 902 MIAMI FIRST 5 INNINGS -110
List Pitchers: Harrison & Cabrera
Bet Size: 3%
Line Parameters:
3% play at -115 or better
2% play at -116 to -125
My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE (H/T STATFOX FOXSHEETS):
Play ON home teams (MIAMI) - poor NL offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a team with a below average. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), cold-hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games. 28-7 (80%) over the last 5 seasons.