4:10 PM ET -- MLB 

979 Chicago Cubs 
980 Seattle Mariners

Play: 980 SEATTLE -136

List Pitchers: Assad & Castillo

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at -145 or better
2% play at -146 to -150

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY MLB-WIDE SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play ON favorites of less than -190 if the total is 7.5 or 8, they're playing no more than their 21st game of the season, and it's the rubber game of a 3-game series.  28-6 (82.4%, 40.1% ROI) going back to the 2020 season.