4:05 PM ET -- MLB 

923 Milwaukee Brewers 
924 Baltimore Orioles

Play: 924 BALTIMORE -140

List Pitchers: Kremer

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at -150 or better
2% play at -151 to -160

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY TEAM-SPECIFIC SITUATIONAL ANGLES:

Going back to last season, BALTIMORE is 11-1 if at least their last 3 games went over the total, the current total is no higher than 9, and they aren't an underdog of +140 or more.

Going back to last season, Dean Kremer is 11-1 (Team's Record) when starting at home against a team with a winning record.

Going back to the 2022 season, Dean Kremer is 14-0 (Team's Record) when a favorite of -118 to -180.