Dating back to 2012, home favs are 13-4 (76.5%) to the under in a quick (3days or less) home & home revenge situation. That lines up well for the two top defensive teams from last season to play another slow defensive game. The last 4 meetings have all went under and with CON missing their best player from last season (Jonquel Jones) along with pg (Jasmine Thomas). I expect their offense to struggle. On the flip side CON went to zone and that threw the Mystics off. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them go back to that against a WAS team who is currently last place this season shooting 20.5% from 3 and 3rd from last the previous year. They haven’t passed 154 in their L4 meetings, so we’ll gladly play under 160 here.
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