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The Prez
  • Event: (24129) Randy Brown at (24130) Vicente Luque
    Sport/League: MMA
    Date/Time: August 1, 2020 11PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Vicente Luque -185
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

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    The man known for many victories long before he became a mixed martial art champion with the title of "The Silent Assassin" has recorded an 11-3 mark in his UFC career. And notably, there has been but one bout in his 11 wins that have gone to the judges’ cards. That being the legendary knock-down-drag-out versus Mike Perry. The value on Luque in this bout alone is worth investing in on Saturday night. The fighter himself, however,  should be a 2 and one- half buck-chuck chalk (-250) over Randy Brown. 

    The Silent Assassin’ is a class of his own, genuinely accepting, of an invitation to fight anyone and anywhere.

    Do not mistake "silent" with being a kind and gentle soul. The "Assassin" is a better description of Luque. The American-born Brazilian is a knockout waiting to happen. The only subtle and gentle attributes of Luque in the ring are his techniques of putting himself in a position to earn the kill.  Yes, there is a silent and subtle movement to Luque's footwork and technique but those are technical aspects that make him one of the most dangerous octagon warriors in the sport. 

    Luque is vastly superior to his foe this weekend. Not only is he a viper when utilizing his technical striking skill it takes more than a hand or foot to the chin to alter his equilibrium. In so many words Luque has a chin that appears to be made of lead, as his hands and feet seem to weigh in at.  And the aforementioned might not be his most seasoned fighting skill. When the man previously known as Luque takes his opponent to the mat a submission is the most likely outcome, a TKO that is likely to come while being choked out. 

    The losses on his UFC record are difficult to diagnose. Luque fell to Stephen Thompson at UFC 244. And the Assassin was unable to penetrate, weaken or distract Leon Edwards and his focus.  And after watching a number of Luque bouts over the last couple of years it is evident that he was never the biggest or the best athlete in his circle. He believes, and likely is, the toughest, however. 

    Luque's intended kill this weekend, Randy Brown is longer and has a four-inch reach advantage over the Assassin. At 6’3” the ‘Rude Boy’ has used his physical attributes to register a 12-3 career mark more than his technical set.  It is fair to state that Brown has utilized his reach (78”) to keep from having to fight the more compact and stronger MMA welterweights.  

    And while it would be a mistake to underestimate Brown's grappling ability comparing Brown to Luque when it comes to whom is superior on the matt is an insult to TSA. 

    With all due respect to Brown this is a mismatch waiting to happen on Saturday night.  Brown has offered evidence that he can take a licking and keep on ticking. His chin has held serve against stronger as well. But TSA is better standing up and bringing the fight to his opponents inside. His Jiu-Jitsu skill set is much more advanced and striking than his brown belt might suggest. and there is no one foe in the welterweight division that can keep up with Luque if the fight goes to the matt. 

    All of this goes from being analysis to reality this weekend

    There has yet to be a line released for the Luque TKO prop but if that proposition is in line with the money-line in the fight an additional  2% investment on Luque gaining a TKO as the fight result is worthy of pushing across the sportsbook counter, as well. 

    LUQUE -185  

     

     

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