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(553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) Denver Nuggets

Event:
(553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 6, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – (553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) Denver Nuggets Total Under 207.0 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Dating back to 2004, playoff unders are 29-15 (65.9%) when both teams shot >40% from 3 in their previous game and the previous meeting went under.

Both teams shot lights out from behind the arc in Game 1 and it still stayed under the current number we see for game 2.  I’m expecting regression from 3 along with better defense.  Coach Malone was not happy with his team’s focus and let it be known in the postgame interview.  Malone expressed, “Giving up 71% from the field in the 2H in a playoff game is unacceptable”. He continued saying, “you can’t just trade baskets with that team. So yeah, there’s a lot that we’ll look at the film to clean up so we can be better”.   I expect defensive adjustments as well as better overall effort from the Nuggets.  The wolves are the best defense in the league and I trust them to continue to show up.  Neither team is playing uptempo so we’ll expect a slow more defensive game 2.

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