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Phillies vs Mets Betting Odds and Preview April 11

Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia

Phillies vs Mets Betting Preview

The Phillies and Mets each picked up series wins to kick off the 2022 MLB season. Which team holds the upper hand in this NL East showdown? WagerTalk MLB analyst Eric Pauly offers his Phillies vs Mets preview for Monday, April 11.

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Monday, April 11 MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -150 vs New York Mets +140
Runline: Phillies -1.5 (+125) / Mets +1.5 (-145)
Total: 9 Runs (Over -120 / Under EV)
Game Time: 6:45pm ET / 3:45pm PT
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia
Weather: 59* with Light Winds Blowing out to Center

Phillies vs Mets Analysis

Both the Phillies and the Mets are coming off losses on Sunday, but both teams took home their opening series of the 2022 season. The Mets took three of four from the Nationals and the Phillies won two of three against the Athletics.

The Phillies finished second in the NL East last season with the Mets came in third. Both teams improved mightily this offseason, and their first series against each other this season should be exciting.

Fightin’ Phils

Philadelphia took home two wins in their first series of the season behind excellent starting pitching and strong offense from its stars. Aaron Nola and Kyle Gibson did a great job shutting down the A’s offense and keeping the games close. Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins mashed throughout the series and helped Philly produce runs when they needed them.

Coming into this series, Philly will not have either of its aces available versus the Mets tonight. Instead, Philly will rely on reliever Ranger Suarez to make the start and hold the Mets down. Last season, Suarez did a great job limiting opponents’ hard-hit balls, batting averages, and slugging percentages.

The Phillies are only batting .231 as a team so far this year, so in order to take home a win against the Mets, their lineup needs to wake up.

Meet the Mets

New York won three of four games against the Nationals and looked like an inspired team to start the season. The Mets took advantage of the rebuilding Nationals and the Mets staff held Washington to a .164 batting average and a 0.71 WHIP.

Taijuan Walker takes the bump for the Mets after a rocky season last year. Walker started last season as an All-Star, then struggled with hard-hit ball percentage, slugging percentage, and walks, and did not record many strikeouts. In order for the Mets to keep this game close, New York will need Walker to return to his All-Star form and the Mets offense needs to carry over the momentum they built last series.

The Mets hit .293 with 41 hits in their four games against the Nationals to kick off the season.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are pretty sizable underdogs in their first matchup vs Philly this season, and I think the oddsmakers got this line wrong. The Mets played a much stronger series against the Nationals than the Phillies did against the Athletics.

Walker was an All-Star last season, but he fell off after the All-Star break. Suarez did a great job in relief last season and will probably only be on the mound for two to three innings today. I expect Walker to settle in early and show he is capable of more performances that landed him an All-Star nod last season. I like the Mets to take the opening matchup against the Phillies at a nice underdog price.

Caesars Sports Book Logo

Interested in placing a bet on Monday’s Phillies vs Mets clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for April 11

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. The Phillies and Mets each earned series wins on opening weekend. Who holds the advantage in this NL East showdown? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.

MLB Picks, Predictions and Odds |  First Pitch Daily Baseball Betting Preview | April 11

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games, including this Phillies vs Mets showdown, from your desktop or phone.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

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Meet the Author

Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.

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