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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) San Diego Padres

Event:
(957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) San Diego Padres
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 28, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
135
Play:
3% – Philadelphia Phillies +135 Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

3* Rotation #957: MLB Sunday 3* Philadelphia Phillies +135 @ San Diego Padres @ 4:10 ET - Just as I stated with yesterday's play on the Phillies as well, this one is all about the line value as even though Taijuan Walker is making his first start of the season after coming back from an injury and Michael King has some decent numbers early this season, there are more factors than just that! What about the lineups and current trending here? The Phillies rolled to a 9-3 win Friday and a 5-1 win yesterday and their sluggers were crushing the ball in that big win Friday too. This Philly team has had many bigger performances at the plate of late and if some of their guys that had been a bit quiet early this season are starting to get it going...look out! The Phillies hit 5 home runs Friday and then Bohm had 4 RBI yesterday too. They have now won 10 of 12 games and have scored an average of about 7 runs in their last 9 wins! As for the Padres, even playing at Colorado did not help their slumbering bats too much. In a 4-game series they had one 10-9 loss. However, in their other 9 games that are part of their current 3-7 slide, they have scored an average of only 3 runs per game including just 1 run in yesterday's loss! In 8 of their last 11 home games the Padres have scored 3 or less runs! Even in a pitching match-up that most would view as favoring the Padres, don't be surprised if the Phillies prove to be the much stronger team at the plate again today. Note that the Phillies road batting average is more than 25 points higher than the Padres home batting average this season. Taking the hotter team and the better hitting team at a solid underdog price is the way to play this one. Many will back the Padres to avoid the sweep but spots like this often lead to the most value on the contrarian side. I am contrarian here and I look for an underdog upset here! 3* PHILADELPHIA +135

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