Las Vegas Cris
(973) Cincinnati Reds at (974) Texas Rangers
3% CINCY ML (+111) listed/listed
Dunning has allowed 3 or more ER in all but one of his starts; that one was in DET with strong wind blowing in. For as bad as his numbers look, the advanced metrics actually indicate he has been very lucky: xERA of 7.03 vs actual of 4.61. His main pitch is the sinker, CIN is the 3rd best team in MLB vs the sinker.
Abbott has yet to allow more than 2 runs in a start. TEX is 12% below league average vs LHP.
CIN has a slight advantage out of the pen also.
Good to -110
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