Portis has gone under this total in both games against the Pacers and his numbers have been really consistent.  He's played 30 and 31 minutes, he's had 14 and 15 points, he's had 11 rebounds in both games, and he's had 2 and 1 assists which lands him on 27 PRA in both games.  However, this game is on the road where he's gone under 29.5 PRA in 4 out of 5 road games he's played this season without Giannis in the lineup.  He has gone under in 9 out of 10 games against the Pacers since 2023, so the stars align nicely for this to be a play.