Augsburg vs Werder Bremen
Bundesliga, Saturday, 9:30am ET

Play: Augsburg or Tie & Both Teams to Score
Odds at Time of Release: -117
Line Parameter: Playable to -125

Augsburg coming off a loss at Frankfurt by 3-1 but will now return home where they've gone unbeaten in L/5 (W3 D2) and losing only to Bayern Munich and Leverkusen over the last 6 months (W6 D4 L2). However, they have kept just 2 clean sheets in that span (against Union Berlin who can't score and against Heidenheim). They are 12-3 to the Both Teams to Score at home (80%), and 21-9 (70%) regardless of venue. We don't see them losing here to Werder. 

Werder Bremen are coming off a strange 2-1 win at home against Stuttgart, taking advantage of Stuttgart's alchemies at the defense. However, they lost the xG battle (1.54 to 2.13) and a Draw would probably have been a more fair result. That was their first win after a 7-match win-less streak (D2 L5). Werder have scored in 77% of their matches (23 of 30) and in 73% (11 of 14) away matches, failing to score only against Freiburg (at the start of the season), Dortmund, Stuttgart and Leverkusen. 

I think this match starts with a nice Both Teams to Score that is too low to be played on its own (-192ish), but since we don't see Augsburg losing this one, we will take a Same Game Parlay with Augsburg or Tie & Both Teams to Score (-117)

Take 1u on a SGP with Augsburg or Tie & Both Teams to Score (-117)