Justin Gaethje -150…(4%) 

As the week went on, it seemed money continued to pile in on Holloway, but I'm not buying the support he's getting. Although Holloway cannot be put away quickly, I believe the bump up in weight classes will be a problem when he faces the power Gaethje holds. Holloway is a volume and cardio guy who has a tremendous amount of output and can go all night, but Gaethje hits hard and is very accurate, which should do severe damage in this match-up. 

Gaethje has ten knockouts in his last 12 fights, and although Holloway is tough to put away, Gaethje could simply be too much for him. Even if it goes the distance, I'm confident the damage he does will be enough to raise his hand. Holloway is a fan favorite and an absolute warrior, but his most recent win against the Korean Zombie doesn't impress me, and his last win before that was in 2018. 

Gaethje is fresh off a head-kick victory over Dustin Poirier, giving him the BMF title. This fight had odds as high as -225, and it's gone all the way down to -150, so I'm not buying it. Look for Gaethje to use his sharp striking to do damage and get the job done.