Dating back to 2009 in the Conference Finals & beyond, home favs off a loss as a home fav are 15-3 (83.3%) to the under. If their opponent shot 40% or better from 3 in the previous game, the under is 8-0 with those games averaging under 196 ppg
After losing home court in a game they were favored to win, teams respond by stepping up defensively. All of the talk in Celtics post game interviews were about defense, physicality, and intensity so I’d expect them to be focused and limit Miami on that end. The quote that stood out the most was “The only thing that we need to adjust to is picking up our physicality and playing some damn defense” - Marcus Smart…
We also trust coach Spo to have a defensive scheme ready for the Heat as well and a Spo lead team will not come out satisfied after stealing game 1.
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