UPDATED! WASH SHOULD BE ACTION AS WRITTEN UP BELOW. 

3% WASH ML (+128) action/listed

Attacking Weathers here with a WASH lineup that is hot against lefties. Over the L14, WASH is 11% above league average vs southpaws. Weathers throws 75% fastballs and changeups; Nat's favorite pitch this season is that changeup (per runs above average vs specific pitches).

Terrible isn't a bad enough word to describe MIA's offense. They are dead last against LHP this season. At home, they rank 27th in baseball with a wRC+ of only 70. 

Corbin is a bit of a wild card. He pitched very well against the Dodgers last time out, but he always has the potential to give up a ton of runs. Here though, we trust he can get through a very weak offense.

Wash has a significant bullpen advantage.

Our model has them winning this game 52% of the time.

Good to +100
Heritage