3% Seattle Mariners (-130) over Arizona Diamondbacks — w/ Gilbert & Pfaadt — 

Huge pitching advantage here for the Mariners as they do for the sweep of the DBacks. Gilbert is 2-0 TY with a 1.87 ERA in 5 starts, but in his L3 he has only allowed 2 ERs on 10 hits in 21 IP (0.86 ERA), while striking out 20 and walking just 6! He is 1-0 in his career against Arizona, allowing 2 ERs in 6.1 IP. Plus, Seattle is 22-7 in Gilbert’s starts after he allowed ≤ 2 ERs in his last outing. 

Meanwhile, Pfaadt has struggled again to start the year and Arizona has last his L4 outings this season! Not only does Seattle have a major SP advantage, but they also have the edge in the bullpen. Arizona’s bullpen has posted a 5.28 ERA combined on the road this year, while Seattle’s bullpen has a 2.45 combined ERA on the year w/ a 1.028 WHIP, but those numbers are even better at home. In Seattle they have an astonishing 2.08 ERA w/ a 0.818 WHIP!!

Arizona is just 6-17 in the L2Y after 6+ consecutive road games and just 8-22 after a 5 game span where their bullpen posted a 6.50+ ERA. Plus, this season alone, they are just 5-10 thus far on the road!