Orlando vs Toronto
MLS, Saturday, 7:30pm ET

Orlando are coming off a 2-2 draw on the road against Montreal and extended their unbeaten streak to 4 matches (W2 D2 L0), scoring 2+ goals in 3 of 4 matches but keeping just 1 clean sheet. They have a really good team, in fact I personally consider them to have one of the top-5 rosters in the East, but they haven't been able to unfold their true potential due to their involvement in the CONCACAF Champions Cup and due to several absences they had in the international breaks.

Orlando have a pretty decent +0.82 xG difference/game at home, and they are now facing a Toronto team that has a -0.53 xG difference/game on the road. 

Toronto have seen their good start to the season quickly fade away after the injury to Insigne, having won just 1 of L/4 without him in the lineup (W1 L3), and that win was a 1-0 at home against a terrible New England side that are sitting bottom of the East, and it was a wild goal that is scored once every season probably. And the player that scored it, Owusu, who is also their top scorer this season with goals, was injured in their last match and his status is questionable at best. 

I like Orlando in this spot, they have a much better roster, a coach that has been there for quite a few years and has built a strong core of players, and they have gone unbeaten in L/8 against Toronto (W6 D2), winning each of L/4 and winning by two goals or more in each of L/3. 

Take 1u on Orlando -1 (-120), playable to -130