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(529) Denver Nuggets at (530) Los Angeles Lakers  (Game Analysis Below) 

Play Rating: 4% 

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 216.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Apr 25, 2024 10:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

4% Denver @ L.A. Lakers

Los Angeles 2H fades in Denver (-14 & -17) can be directly attributed to their 0-2 status in this series. Lakers now left with zero margin for error need to repeat their 1H scoring success in the 2H tonight. Altitude factor is now erased & Denver defensive adjustments have been seen so last hurdle should be LA not abandoning the successful offense they’ve ran in each 1H thus far. 1H/2H scoring & FG% shooting splits of (59.5-41.5 & 50.5%-41.0%) are glaring but fixable. After the last game Lakers C Anthony Davis said “We’ve shown that we’re more than capable”. He went on to say “We have stretches where we just don’t know what we’re doing on both ends of the floor”. To the point of capable & fixable the -23 FGA gap LA had in Game #1 was brought down to -9 Monday night but they have to get more than the 78 & 79 shot attempts they had in those games. Meanwhile the Denver offense has also vastly underachieved in this series shooting just 45.3% from the field and 30.3% from three point range.Venue switch recent history shows it is likely to be beneficial to the hosts. L4G played here in Los Angeles have seen the Lakers score 121 / 126 / 106 /114  (116.8 avg). Those contests have also resulted in final score totals of 231 / 234 / 220 / 238all of which exceed the current asking price of 217. Offenses likely to get it right tonight and land in the 220+ area. 

Play: Total Over 216.5 (-110)