2* Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Thursday 2* OVER 3 -130 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - With Haaland scheduled to sit out this one for City, we get some line value with this total being held down at 3 goals. The fact is Haaland has not been playing well anyway in recent matches. Let him sit. There will be a strong effort from City here on the road to keep their hopes alive of finishing first. The big Arsenal win over Chelsea means Manchester City knows they need to win to keep pace. Brighton & Hove has had a disappointing stretch of play but they are still a different club when on their home pitch. I expect them to get on the board here and, of course, City is a sizable favorite here for a reason. That is why I can not see this match ending with anything less than 3 goals though I certainly am getting involved here with the expectation of 4 or more goals! City has scored 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 meetings with  Brighton & Hove. Also, Man City has scored 46 goals in last 17 road matches across all competitions. Brighton & Hove has struggled some recently but, as noted above, they can prove to be tougher on their home pitch. In league action this season, they have scored an average of 2 goals per match and have lost only twice in 15 matches! Look for a 3-2 or 3-1 type match here. It is no accident that City is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for this one even with Haaland slated to miss. The hosts play better at home but also can not stop a determined City attack that will be out to prove what they can do sans Haaland. 2* OVER 3 -130 in Brighton & Hove