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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(206969) Steaua Bucuresti at (206970) Sepsi

Event:
(206969) Steaua Bucuresti at (206970) Sepsi
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
April 24, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
103
Play:
3% – (206969) Steaua Bucuresti at (206970) Sepsi REGULATION Total Over 2.5 (+103)
Result:
Win
Analysis

3* Rotation #206969: Romania Liga 1: 3* Wednesday OVER 2.5 +103 in Sepsi vs FCSB @ 2:45 ET - FCSB has a couple of injuries - Phelipe and Chiriches - but that is actually adding some value to this total. We get the over 2.5 without laying any juice because of these injuries. FCSB still has plenty of depth plus these injuries essentially balance each other out. Phelipe is a midfielder and, in theory, this could impact the transition game on the attack but Chiriches is a central defender and is a veteran that was just lost for the season. This certainly could impact FCSB in front of their own goal. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. The last meeting in Sepsi totaled 7 goals! Also, 2 of the other 3 overs (including most recent in Bucuresti) went over the total in the first half! Don't be surprised if this is another one of those here. FCSB is in great shape but still has not locked up the top spot in the league so they will push for the full 3 points in the table here and are favored on the road for a reason. However, Sepsi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch! FCSB has only been shutout once in last 9 matches and in the other 8 they averaged 1.8 goals scored per match. Given all of the above I simply can not envision a clean sheet for either club. That said, what about the odds of a 1-1 draw? Well, FCSB has only 4 draws in last 19 road matches across all competitions. Sepsi has only 6 draws in last 30 matches! So you are talking about a 20% draw rate roughly. I like the odds of another thriller between these clubs and this one gets to at least a 2-1 final. 3* OVER 2.5 +103 in Sepsi

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