3% Arizona Diamondbacks (-119) over Chicago Cubs — w/ Henry & Hendricks — 

Teams that are coming off a big upset loss have won almost 60% of the games this season, but when you factor in that Arizona is still playing in the same series, that number jumps up to over 63% on the ML this season (all teams). Chicago hasn’t had a lot of experience against LHP this season, and when they have, they haven’t hit the ball especially well. They played 2 games against lefty starters, and split those games, but on the season they are hitting just over .200 as a team against all LHP. 

Hendricks has been especially bad to start the season, even though the Cubs got the win in his start against the Dodgers, he has allowed 5+ ERs in all 3 starts on the year! 

Henry struggled in his first home start but has settled down in the L2 outings. He is due to make a big start in front of his home crowd and a revenge game for yesterday.