Dating back to 2012, playoff double digit home favs with rest advantage are 10-1 (90.9%) to the under with those games averaging 201.5 ppg.

This tells me that the superior team dominates the game defensively while their opponent is worn down from the previous series.

The Cavs have failed to reach 210 in the L5 games without Jarrett Allen so I’m not worried about if he misses.  Neither team has reached 210 so far in the playoffs and we expect another low scoring game tonight.