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Wurth 400 Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds – NASCAR Betting Preview April 28

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Wurth 400 Betting Preview

NASCAR heads to Dover International Speedway for the Wurth 400 as drivers start their engines on April 28th for the big race! WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang gives his Wurth 400 predictions and picks before the race starts up at 2:00pm ET!

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Wurth 400 Betting Odds

Sunday, April 28Wurth 400 Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Date:April 28, 2024
Time:2:00pm ET / 11:00am PT
Location:Dover International Speedway in Dover, DE
Favorite to Win:Kyle Larson (+450)
TV:FS1

Wurth 400 Track: Dover International Speedway

Dover is a one-mile track that is concrete, and it eats up brakes and tires so drivers and crew chiefs must manage tire wear more than ever at this track.

The track is called the Monster Mile, and is indeed a Monster task to win this race. There will be plenty of flat tires on this concrete track, and more than one car will blow a right front which will send them into the wall bringing out the caution.

Only 12 driver finished on the lead lap last year, and 16 cars finished 3 or more laps down so many drivers will face adversity at this track.

Wurth 400 Schedule

Practice: 10:30 AM ET Saturday, April 27

Qualifying: 11:20 AM ET Saturday, April 27

Race: 2:00 PM ET Sunday, April 28

Top 5 Finishing Averages Last 3 Dover Races

1. Alex Bowman 3.0 

2. Chase Elliott 5.0 

3. Ross Chastain 6.7 

4. William Byron 10.0 

5. Christopher Bell 10.3

Wurth 400 Head-to-Head Prediction

Tyler Reddick -140 v Kyle Busch

Kyle Busch is having a nightmare season so we’ll be keep fading him. I took the average of Martinsville, Richmond, Phoenix and Bristol, and Reddick’s average finish is 14.3 whereas Busch is at 20.8.

His car isn’t good, he’s frustrated, and I expect his year of frustration to continue. He’s a fade until further notice, especially against someone like Reddick who is in a suprerior car.

Wurth 400 Top 10 Finish Prediction

Brad Keselowski -110

Brad’s car has been really good this year and he’s finished Top 10 in 5 out of the last 7 races including top 10’s at shorter tracks like Richmond, Bristol, and Phoenix. He’s on the doorstep of a win as he’s finished 2nd the last 2 weeks. Great value on Brad here.

Wurth 400 Manufacturer Winner Prediction

2 units Chevy +120
2 units Toyota +150

Ford has yet to win a race so this play has hit 10 out of 10 times this season, and Ford just doesn’t seem to have it figured out yet on tracks outside of Super Speedways. In the last 2 races at Dover, Ford has only had 1 driver finish in the top 7 in each of those races.

Hendricks cars will be very tough at this track with their tire management and drivers, and add Hamlin, Truex, Bell, Reddick, and Chastain to the list of potential winners, and I think this makes it 11 races in a row without a Ford winning.

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