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Geico 500 Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds – NASCAR Betting Preview April 21

NASCAR driver preps for Geico 500

Geico 500 Betting Preview

NASCAR heads to Talladega Superspeedway for the Geico 500 as drivers start their engines on April 21st for the big race! WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang gives his Geico 500 predictions and picks before the race starts up at 3:30pm ET!

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Geico 500 Betting Odds

Sunday, April 21Geico 500 Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Date:April 21, 2024
Time:3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT
Location:Talladega Superspeedway in Lincoln, Alabama
Favorite to Win:Ryan Blaney (+850)

Geico 500 Track: Talladega Superspeedway

An iconic track on the NASCAR circuit, this track is huge at 2.6 miles and the turns are all over 32 degrees banked.

It’s a Super Speedway so cars will be racing in tight packs which means get ready for “The Big One”, a term used to describe one wreck that takes out many cars. It happens every race, which makes this race intense to watch, but tough to bet on.

Geico 500 Schedule

Qualifying: 10:30 AM ET Saturday, April 20
Race: 3:00 PM ET Sunday, April 21

Top 5 Finishing Averages Last 4 Talladega Races

1. Ryan Blaney 4.0 

2. Chase Elliott 6.8 

3. William Byron 9.0 

4. Denny Hamlin 10.8 

5. Erik Jones 11.0

Top 5 Average Finishers at Atlanta & Daytona This Season

1. Bubba Wallace 6 

2. Kyle Busch 7.5 

3. Corey Lajoie 8.5 

4. William Byron 9.0 

5. Austin Cindric 13.0

Geico 500 Head-to-Head Prediction

Corey Lajoie +100 over Austin Dillon

Dillon has had a disastrous couple of Super Speedway races as he finished 37th at Daytona and 22nd at Atlanta, and last year at two Talladega races he finished 38th and 33rd.

On the other hand, Lajoie has finished 4th and 13th at the Super Speedways this year, and at Talladega last year he finished 4th and 25th, easily beating Dillon. It just looks like Dillon isn’t comfortable at these tracks where Lajoie thrives so we’ll back him this week.

Geico 500 Top 10 Finish Prediction

Erik Jones +110

No reason to take anyone at minus money so Erik Jones at +110 makes sense. He finished top 10 at one of the Talladega races last year, and he finished top 10 at The Daytona 500 this year so Super Speedways are a comfortable format for him.

Geico 500 Manufacturer Winner Prediction

1 Unit Chevy +150
1 Units Ford +170

I’ve been taking Ford and Toyota at plus money every week, and it’s cashed every week, but Ford should be in the mix this week, so I’ll take Chevy and Ford this week.

Ford had good finishes at Atlanta, and the Penske Fords should have good speed this week. Anything can happen for Toytoa, but my money will be on Ford and Chevy

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