Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions, Picks and Betting Favorites June 11

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Betting Preview

WagerTalk NASCAR handicapper Andy Lang offers his predictions, picks and betting favorites around the Toyota/Save Mart 350 with drivers starting their engines at 3:30pm ET from Sonoma Raceway in Sonoma County, California. Andy discusses average finish times and betting analysis around his best bet!

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Toyota/Save Mart 350	NASCAR Betting Notes
When:	June 11, 2023 3:30pm ET / 12:30pm PT
Where:	Sonoma Raceway in Sonoma County, California
Defending Champ:	Daniel Suárez
Current Favorite:	Tyler Reddick (+450 at DraftKings)
TV:	FOX

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Betting Analysis

We travel to the most picturesque track on the NASCAR circuit, the road course at Sonoma, where Chase Elliott will make his return after suspension.

This is a course where several drivers specialize, and some of them don’t have wins this year so you’ll see them fighting extra hard.

Ross Chastain, Chase Elliott, AJ Allmendinger, Daniel Suarez, and Brad Keselowski are drivers that don’t have a win that can make a run at a win this week and that can make it difficult for us bettors as they’ll be going with an all or nothing strategy and attitude this week.

Average Finishes at Sonoma Last Two Races Here

Chase Elliot 5.0
Austin Cindric 5.0 (one race)
Danie Suarez 6.5
Ross Chastain 7.0
Kyle Larson 8.0
Ryan Blaney 8.0
Chris Buescher

Fade The Gibbs Cars

The new cars have been awful for the Gibbs cars on road courses, and if we get good matchups with non-Gibbs cars against Gibbs cars we should take them. At COTA earlier this year, the Gibbs cars finished 9th,16th, 17th, and 31st. Last year at Sonoma, they finished 26th, 27th, 30th, 31st so the struggle is very real.

I see some matchups out there that I like against Gibbs cars like:

Harvick -125 v Truex Jr
Keselowski -110 v Hamlin

Fords won five out of six road course races last year, but Tyler Reddick in a Toyota won at COTA earlier this year, and he looked great doing it, especially with all the restarts at the end of that race. Chevy to win was a popular bet in that race, and after Reddick Chevy’s finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Best Bet

Austin Cindric Top 10

Cindric has not been having a good year, but he runs great at road courses. He finished 6th at COTA earlier this year, and 5th at Sonoma last year. Add to that a 7th at Road America, 2nd at Indy’s Road Course, and 8th at COTA last year, and we see a great track record of him at road courses.

Interested in placing a bet on the Toyota/Save Mart 350? BetMGM is offering a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.

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