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The Football GoldSheet NFL Week #4, CFB Week #5 Sep 29, 2026

Issued Sep 29 · 18 sections

Football Newsletter

Tuesday Nights in Season

Analysis, Key Releases, stat comparisons, power ratings, schedule logs and more for every NFL and FBS game from Week 0 of the college football season through the Super Bowl.

Basketball Newsletter

Daily · 11am ET

We break down every NBA game from Opening Night through the Finals, plus roughly six college basketball games per day. Kick off your daily handicapping with GoldSheet’s analysis, power ratings, schedule logs and more.

LTS Picks

Our top selections made with a consensus approach. These picks are made by our team after the newsletter is published, factoring in line movement, injuries, weather and more.

Since 1957

The country's longest-running sports betting newsletter

Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. In May 2019, WagerTalk Media announced its intent to acquire GoldSheet in a deal to bring the iconic publication into the digital age.

Bettors and oddsmakers have used GoldSheet’s betting analysis for nearly seven decades. In 2022, the Chicago Sun Times did a piece on our history in the sports betting industry, and we were featured in Billy Walters’ critically-acclaimed book, Gambler: Secrets from a Life at Risk: “Mike was not a big sports gambler himself, but he knew a ripe market when he saw one. He dug for information at his local library and bookstores. He searched NCAA football guides, which listed scores and statistics, as well as local and national newspapers and handicapping resources like the GoldSheet.”

“…handicapping resources like the GoldSheet.”Billy Walters · Gambler

Inside the Football GoldSheet

Write-ups, stat comparisons and power-rating point spreads for every NFL and FBS matchup · Tech Angle historical trends · box-score breakdowns from the previous week's games · week-by-week logs with ATS, over/under and home-road splits · Stat Service head-to-head notes on turnover differential and yardage stats.

Inside the Basketball GoldSheet

Daily NBA and NCAAB game previews by 11am ET / 8am PT · the Basketball Record game log with scores and spread results · the Spreadsheet of situational home/road and favorite/underdog records · roughly six Key Releases across the NBA and college basketball each day.

Newsletter vs Picks

The newsletter gives you early information to handicap on your own. The picks give you the team's sharpest consensus plays once the picture is clear. A lot of clients run both.

Hot streaks

91-57 (+106.21) BIG BET FOOTBALL RECORD

90-53 (+87.5) BIG BET MLB RECORD

INDUSTRY LEADING 7 DECADES OF EXCELLENCE!

Last updated Oct 5, 12:58 PM EDT

LTS Picks · The GoldSheet
Today's full card

5% MAXIMUM CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK • 91-57 (+106.2) RUN • LAST ONE WON BY MORE THAN 30!

Over the past 365 days, The TGS crew has released 12 college football plays which received a 5% rating. (They went 7-4-1.) Of those 12, ONLY ONE was a total. Not only did it win, IT WON BY 31.5 POINTS! All football plays rated 4% and higher are on a MASTERFUL 91-57 (+106.21) RUN, the #1 BIG PLAY FOOTBALL RECORD since last September. The TIME HAS COME for just their second 5% total over the past year. Don't miss this one!

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WEDNESDAY 4% CFB ENFORCER! • 91-57 (+106.2) = #1 BIG BET FOOTBALL RECORD SINCE LAST SEPTEMBER!

The GoldSheet's football plays rated 4% and higher are on a SUPER 91-57 (+106.21) RUN, the BEST BIG PLAY FOOTBALL RECORD since last September. After cashing with the Falcons on Monday night, the TGS team passed on Tuesday's game. There was ZERO CHANCE that they were passing on Wednesday's MASSIVE OPPORTUNITY though. If you're getting involved in the game, you need to play with THE BEST!

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TNF (4%) BLACK DIAMOND • 91-57 (+106.21) BIG BET FOOTBALL RECORD! • 100% RECORD IN DALLAS GAMES

How bout them Cowboys! Off a win over Houston on Sunday, Dallas hosts Tampa on Thursday. America's most respected handicapping crew is already 2-0/100%YTD in games involving "America's team" and they're on an 83% RUN in Dallas games since last year. All football plays rated 4% and above are on a SIZZLING 91-57 (+106.21) HOT STREAK. The winning continues Thursday. Jump on board!

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WEEKEND WARRIOR: EVERY FOOTBALL PLAY, SAT & SUN, JUST $49!

Two days. Two sports. One pass. Get every Saturday College Football and Sunday NFL play from your handicapper, and every 5% max football release is in there too, no upcharge. Retail runs $78. You're in for $49!

Here's the edge most people miss: plays go out the moment they're released. Buy early in the week, and you get every play in real time, at the number your handicapper actually bet. Wait until the weekend, and you risk buying in after the line's already moved. The earlier you lock in, the more picks you catch at the right price.

This is the whole football weekend, wall to wall, for less than the price of a single max play elsewhere. Lock in your Weekend Warrior now and don't leave a snap or a number on the table.

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CFB · (407) Houston at (408) Kansas State: Spread · 3:30pm EDT - Oct 10/2026

THE PLAY: Kansas State -2.5 (-110)

We’ve been underwhelmed by much of the Big XII thus far, Houston among those, as the Cougs have looked irresistible this season only against FCS foe Southern U. Certainly not last week vs. UCF, which had the Cougars on the ropes until well into the third quarter when Scott Frost temporarily ran low on QBs and was forced to use third-stringer Kaleb Annett - who couldn’t get the ball downfield - after starter Keyone Jenkins was temporarily KO’d following his disastrous interception deep in his own territory got Houston back into the game. It’s going to take a better effort than last week or the previous Saturday at Georgia Southern (both spread losses for the Cougars) to deal with a more-dangerous K-State squad that has had a week to lick its wounds after blowing a second-half lead at Cincinnati. Now it’s back to the Little Apple, where new head coach Collin Klein won all three for the ‘Cats in September, and where veteran dual-threat QB Avery Johnson (better than 300 yards per game total offense thus far) is more likely to fly, or perhaps run, which he did to the tune of 152 rushing yards the last time KSU played at Manhattan on September 19 vs. Tulane. The Willie Fritz defense must also now deal with a foe that will seriously opt for the overland route as the Cats’ smashmouth infantry is gaining better than 6.4 yards per carry while ranking 13th nationally at 241 yards per game, and probably do it better than a somewhat-disappointing Texas Tech a couple of weeks ago in Lubbock. Let’s also see if Houston can stand up a bit better against another quality QB after facing only one of those (Oregon State’s Braden Atkinson, in his first start, tossing for 376 yards) and another pair of so-so pilots (Georgia Southern’s ageless Max Johnson and Texas Tech’s rather limited Will Hammond) who burned the Cougs for over 550 combined pass yards in recent weeks.
Play Kansas State

CFB · (329) South Carolina at (330) Florida: Total · 12:45pm EDT - Oct 10/2026

THE PLAY: Total Over 61.5 (-106)

Florida has won five of the last six meetings in this SEC matchup, with the last one being a 41-39 road win at South Carolina in October 2023. Gamecocks' head coach Shane Beamer can't afford another heart-breaker like that, and frankly, we're not sure how many more losses he can take under any circumstances if he wants to stay in Columbia. South Carolina is off to an 0-3 start (both straight-up and against the spread) in SEC play after last week's 35-34 loss to Kentucky. The Gamecocks jumped out to a 17-0 lead by the beginning of the second quarter, but the defense couldn't slow down Kentucky's offense after that. LaNorris Sellers ran for 147 yards in addition to his two touchdowns through the air. South Carolina's four games against FBS-level competition have all gone over the total. Florida is also licking its wounds after last week's 45-17 loss at Missouri. Just like the Gamecocks, all four of Florida's games against FBS-level competition have gone over the total. For the first time this season, the Gators' offense never got out of park. Jadan Baugh's Heisman campaign took a major hit after he was only able to generate 13 rushing yards on 12 attempts against the Tigers' defense. QB Aaron Philo failed to throw for 200 yards and he wasn't able to offer much on the ground, either. Even though Florida's offense struggled last week against Missouri, we see no reason to jump off the "over" train that each team is riding. The Gamecocks' defense was fired up and ready to go last week against Kentucky, forcing the Wildcats to punt on each of their first four possessions. As soon as Kentucky's offense started to make adjustments, South Carolina's defense had no answers. Big Blue scored on six of its last nine possessions. Beamer has floated the idea of benching Sellers, but after he produced 373 yards last week, the Gamecocks have bigger issues on the defensive side, not their veteran QB. Play the Over

DateSportPickResult
Oct 06 MLB (933) Los Angeles Dodgers at (934) Atlanta Braves: Total Total Over 6.0 (-115) Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP), Chris Sale (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 05 NFL Atlanta Falcons +2.5 (-115)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 05 MLB New York Yankees -129 Cam Schlittler (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 04 NFL (251) Indianapolis Colts at (252) Washington Commanders: Total Total Under 47.0 (-115)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 04 NFL Arizona Cardinals -122
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 03 CFB Indiana -24.0 (-115)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 03 MLB (917) Chicago White Sox at (918) Cleveland Guardians: Total Total Under 7.0 (-115) Hagen Smith (LHP), Parker Messick (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 03 CFB San Diego State +8.5 (-112)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 03 CFB Kansas -18.5 (-108)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 03 CFB Marshall +19.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 02 CFB Pittsburgh +3.5 (-118)
(Analysis)
Win
Oct 01 MLB Philadelphia Phillies -112 Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 01 CFB Western Kentucky +2.5 (-112)
(Analysis)
Loss
Oct 01 NFL Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-112)
(Analysis)
Loss
Sep 30 MLB (901) Philadelphia Phillies at (902) Atlanta Braves: Total Total Under 7.5 (-132) Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), Tyler Mahle (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 29 MLB (945) Philadelphia Phillies at (946) Atlanta Braves: Total Total Over 6.5 (-120) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 27 NFL Detroit Lions -6.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 27 NFL (475) Carolina Panthers at (476) Cleveland Browns: Total Total Over 41.5 (-115)
(Analysis)
Loss
Sep 26 CFB 1H Georgia Tech -155
(Analysis)
Win
Sep 26 CFB Arizona -10.0 (-110)
(Analysis)
Push
Net last 20 · +7.07 units

Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. The GoldSheet newsletter prides itself on providing in-depth analysis as early as possible to assist handicappers. When the dust settles on injury news, weather reports and line moves, the GoldSheet team offers its highly-respected LTS plays. Separate from the newsletter but never contrasting selections in the newsletter, these LTS selections have consistently kept GoldSheet atop WagerTalk's leaderboard since our debut in 2021. Simply put: These plays are the best of the best, and they are a big reason why GoldSheet has been a trusted source in the sports betting industry for seven decades.

  • 2021 College Football Season: +85.5% Profit behind a 45-21-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
  • 2021-22 NFL Season: +10.3% Profit behind a 33-28-1 Record
  • 2021-22 College Basketball Season: +33.1% Profit behind a 53.6% Win Rate
  • 2021-22 NBA Season: +52% Profit behind a 54.7% Win Rate
  • 2022-23 NFL Season: +55.9% Profit behind a 49-28-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)

To help you prepare for the 2025-26 NFL season, the GoldSheet team has compiled team previews for all 32 squads that will be updated through out the summer. Check out some of our team previews on the WagerTalk News site:

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