What prediction markets are available for the Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl is the highlight of the year for many sports fans, and in more recent times you can potentially add some extra excitement to the game by making predictions about what is going to happen.
This isn't just about the usual NFL prediction markets like who will win or which player will score the most points, Super Bowl prediction markets will take the whole thing to another level. If this sounds like a lot, don’t worry, I’ve got your back and I’ll take you through it all so you can get into it as soon as the new new season starts. I’ll start with what you’ll see on the big platforms, and fish up with some tips to help you get going, OK?
On field prediction markets for the Super Bowl
Prediction markets are expanding all the time, so I can’t even guess at all the options that will be available for the next Super Bowl. What I can do is give you a good idea of what I’ve seen from Super Bowl prediction markets in past years. For example, Kalshi was estimated to have had over 100 Super Bowl markets for LIX, and that was up considerably from the previous year when the platform had just entered sports prediction markets. There were the main markets both there and at other platforms, like :
- Eagles to win
- Chiefs to win
As well as some more markets for winning margin ranges. As these are prediction markets, they were all based around a question and a binary outcome - so ‘Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX’ would have been a Yes/No outcome, and you could buy event contracts based on that. This could also be applied to other questions regarding onfield events like
- Will the game go to overtime?
- Will there be a safety?
- Will there be a two point conversion?
While these events might seem complicated, I enjoy that all these markets worked on that simple Yes/No principle, so newbies could also get started easily if they wanted to. This is important because the Super Bowl might attract people to prediction markets who wouldn’t have looked otherwise. Anybody taking a look at a prediction market platform for the first time will have seen almost endless options for onfield activities, including player performance, team statistics and even the result of the coin toss.
Off field Super Bowl prediction markets
As I said right at the start of this guide, it’s not all about what happens on the field. Prediction markets take things further than just sports, as, depending on which platform you choose, you’ll also see markets for culture, celebrity and plenty of other things that have nothing to do with moving a ball 100 yards. For the next Super Bowl, expect to see prediction markets for off field events like the halftime show, with opening song, guest appearances and the outfits the performers are wearing being the subject of the same simple binary contracts as the actual sporting events.
The same goes for the commercials that will air. Yes it’s normally a shoot-out between big upcoming movies and the biggest brands around, but which ones will appear, and which ones will be first?. Prediction markets for a big event like the Super Bowl wouldn’t be complete without some fun markets as well, so if you want to predict if it will rain or snow during the game - you can do that as long as you find the right platform.
Which is the best platform for Super Bowl prediction markets
As you’ve seen there is no shortage of prediction markets for the Super Bowl, and there’s plenty of prediction market platforms as well. They might all look very similar but I can tell you that when you look closely you can see how your choice of platform will affect your experience.
I’ve used all the big platforms, and for me it comes down to just three for the Super Bowl, in fact it’s the same three I’d pick for soccer prediction markets as well. I’ve chosen Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com, and while those first two might not be a surprise, the third choice is a real hidden gem. You can get the full story on each of them elsewhere in Wagertalk, but if want the key details about Super Bowl prediction markets, I’ve got you covered here:
| Super Bowl prediction platform | Total number of market categories |
| Polymarket | 14+ |
| Kalshi | 11+ |
| Crypto.com | 5+ |
Polymarket - a big name for your Super Bowl predictions
Polymarket In A Nutshell
Unless you’ve been under a rock for the last couple of years, you’ll know Polymarket has become one of the most popular prediction market platforms. As well as the wider markets, Polymarket is big on sports with plenty of NBA prediction markets, baseball, soccer and yep, the NFL. The selection here, especially for big events like the Super Bowl is bound to be huge, and I’m expecting hundreds of markets covering player performance and team stats as well as those novelty markets I talked about earlier. The upshot of this? Well, you can get into Super Bowl predictions whatever your level of interest, whether it’s the number of yards the running back makes or if Coldplay will be joining the halftime show.
I’ve always found Polymarket to be easy to use, especially the app so I can respond quickly onfield and off-field events. I can buy or sell event contracts as quickly, and see market trends. Overall, this is a great platform for Super Bowl predictions, especially if you are new to all this.
Kalshi - simple and easy to use for Super Bowl predictions
Kalshi In A Nutshell
If there was one platform that could rival Polymarket, it would be Kalshi, the other big name in prediction markets. This was the first platform to be regulated by the CTFC, so this might put this in front of lots of new users, but for me Kalshi and Polymarket are neck and neck in almost every way. This is simple and straightforward with fewer categories overall, but if you’re just looking at sports you’ll get a wide range of choice right down to UFC prediction markets. That's a good sign for football fans too, because when Super Bowl Sunday rolls around, you'll have a strong lineup of markets to choose from, including a few you may not find on every platform.
This is another platform with a top tier app, so whether you’ve like me and followed sports for decades, or looking to predict which MCU movie will start the ad break, you’ll be able to do it with ease.
Crypto.com - more than just predicting the price of BTC
Crypto.com In A Nutshell
Like me, you might have thought Crypto.com just did crypto trading, after all the clue is in the name. I found out how wrong I was when I took a look recently. They’ve expanded into other prediction market categories as well, including, most importantly for anyone reading this, sports. This will inevitably include the Super Bowl and if you’re wanting a different experience to the one offered by Polymarket or Kalshi, this could be the platform for you. By different I don’t mean worse, I’m just expecting there to be fewer markets available, meaning you can find what you want easily without scrolling through too many other distractions.
I found this to be easy to use as well, with everything set out simply. So regardless of whether you’re looking for the match winner or who’s going to be driving in the Audi commercial, you can get there in seconds.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
Getting started with a Super Bowl prediction market platform
With market ranges expanding all time, it’s hard to predict what will be available for a yearly event, but Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com is the shortlist I’d start with. As these are all currently available in every state, you’ve got no worries regardless of where in the US you are, but remember you’ll need to be at least 18 to sign up. The links on this page will take you to each of them so you can see which one feels right for you. After that you can sign up when you’re ready (you don’t have to wait until the new football season).
To make the whole thing easier, here’s my top 5 tips for things I found helped me when I first signed up:
🆔 Have your ID ready
Chances are you’ll need to pass KYC before you get too far, so have your ID ready - and your best smile for the selfie you’ll need to send in.
💳 Check your payment options
You’ll have plenty of choice but remember credit cards are not likely to be among them. Check for fees for methods like debit cards, and timescales for fee-free methods like bank transfers.
🔍 Do your research
Come Super Bowl week, every sports outlet is pumping out previews, injury reports, matchup breakdowns, and expert picks. Use all of that to your advantage. The more informed you are before placing a trade, the better your chances of spotting value that the market might have missed.
⚠️ Remember it’s a final
While stats are important, you’ll know that can all go out the window when the pressure is on. Use the apps to make any more purchases or sales if the action moves in an unexpected manner.
📈 The market decides the price
This means that there can be big movements based on emotions that can provide trading opportunities if you move quickly before the market settles back down.
Conclusion– make it an even bigger event with Super Bowl prediction markets
How do you make the Super Bowl even bigger? Well, one way is to make predictions about it on a platform like Kalshi, Polymarket or Crypto.com. There’s no doubt prediction markets are getting bigger, so by the time the next Super Bowl comes around there will be so many options you might feel like you don’t know where to start. That’s why I put this guide together so you can just get on with it rather than sitting there wondering what’s going on.
You’ve seen the types of markets you can expect to find, from who’ll win to who’ll get a Gatorade bath, and I’ve even shown you some of the best platforms to use as well. You may or may not think I’m right, but the only way to be sure is to take a look for yourself using the link on this page and make your final decision from there.
Super Bowl prediction markets FAQs
What prediction markets are there for the Super Bowl?
You could almost say, "if you can think of it, there's probably a market for it." That's only a slight exaggeration. Beyond everything happening on the field, you'll also find contracts on the halftime show, commercials, and plenty of other Super Bowl storylines. Whatever part of the big game gets you talking, there's a good chance you can trade on it.
Which are the best platforms for Super Bowl prediction markets?
With the number of markets available expanding year on year, this is not an easy one to answer. Based on previous years and how easy the platforms are to use both on desktop and native apps, I’d look at Kalshi, Polymarket or Crypto.com before I go anywhere else.
How soon can you start making Super Bowl predictions?
Super Bowl prediction markets are available all year round, but expect to see more as the Super Bowl Sunday approaches. Big markets like predicting the winner and which brands will advertise at half time will appear soon after the previous season has ended.
