I jumped into making this Coinbase review the second I caught wind of the site’s sports prediction markets. But it doesn’t end there. Politics, weather, crypto, culture, and economic events are also on the market.
On Coinbase, you’re trading Yes or No event contracts. I traded on the website and iOS app, and an Android app is on hand, too. The platform lets you buy and sell using USD or USDC. If you register with a referral code, you can bag a $25 welcome bonus after making the qualifying trade.
How does Coinbase work? The lowdown
The very minute I visited Coinbase, I realized one thing: the site runs just like other prediction market brands in the US. That is, you trade Yes/No event contracts that cost from $0.01 to $0.99. Coinbase doesn’t set the rates. Instead, the contract price shifts as traders buy and sell because the prediction markets are peer-to-peer (P2P).
If your prediction is on point after the event, each contract pays $1. However, if the outcome doesn’t turn out as you expected, just write the tradeoff. You’ll receive $0.
One thing that catches my fancy is that you can sell those contracts anytime. No need to wait around until the event happens if the price moves right and there’s a trader on the other side to buy.
Is Coinbase legit? Yes, I’m sure it is
My position that Coinbase checks out as legit is because the platform gets its event contracts from Kalshi. Now Kalshi, one of the biggest prediction market brands around, is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
There’s nothing out of the ordinary with that partnership; in case you’re wondering. In my WeBull review, for example, I saw that the platform also works with Kalshi. Having CFTC-regulated contracts gives Coinbase the green light to operate at the federal level. But things are different at the state level.
Before creating my account, I confirmed from the terms that the site is off-limits for people in Nevada. The situation in other places can change as well. So, if you plan to trade on Coinbase, keep an eye on your local laws about prediction markets.
Verification
Coinbase is one prediction market site that’s locked down tight. To sign up, I had to confirm my phone number for a start. After that, I uploaded proof of ID and address to verify my account. Anyway, the process isn’t really a tough nut to crack. Just submit a driver’s license or passport and a recent utility bill or bank statement.
6+ prediction markets on the table
Personally, I predict more sports game outcomes on Coinbase. As I said in the introduction, there are also events from politics, crypto, culture, economics, and weather. That means the platform has at least six categories to check out.
Here’s an example of one NFL game I put my money on:
| Event | Chargers to win against the Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Yes | $0.43 |
| No | $0.59 |
I bought 50 No contracts at $29.50 because I expected the Seahawks to beat the Chargers. They didn’t let me down. The game ended 23-30, and I cashed in a $50 payout and a $20.50 win.
Besides the NFL, Coinbase also has games from the NBA, NHL, and MLB. Other sports on tap include tennis, soccer, cricket, golf, MMA, and volleyball. As for the other categories, here’s what to expect:
| Politics | Local and international elections, political appointments, and government actions | |
| Crypto | BTC, ETH, BNB, DOGE, HYPE, XRP, and a few more | |
| Economics | Fed decisions, GDP, commodities, inflation, jobs, oil, and energy | |
| Weather | Temperature, rain, snow, and natural disasters | |
| Culture | Music, movies, TV, awards, celebrities, collectibles, and video games |
Combos
If you trade in sports prediction markets like me, you can bundle 2 to 10 outcomes into a single contract on Coinbase. That’s thanks to the combo feature. Put simply, this feature works like parlays on online sportsbooks. If all predictions in a combo are correct, you get a larger payout per contract. That said, Coinbase isn’t a sportsbook.
Trading fees
Coinbase doesn’t spell out direct numbers or percentages in a fee schedule. I wasn’t thrilled by that, but I think it’s easy to see why: the contracts come from Kalshi. From my experience, though, a ballpark figure is between $0.01 and $0.03 per contract. You’ll see the exact fees before trading.
Predict crypto movements on Coinbase
Trade political event contracts on Coinbase
Get a bonus for trading $30+ after registration
Coinbase gives a $25 reward to new traders who register via a referral link and trade at least $30 within seven days. It’s quite a simple bonus, although the fact that it hangs on an invite link is something some people may be unaware of. I almost missed out on it myself.
That won’t happen to you anyway. To get the bonus, you can tap the links on this page to visit Coinbase and create an account. You don’t need any other special Coinbase promo code. That said, the reward amount isn’t carved in stone; it can change.
Other ongoing promos
The welcome bonus I just mentioned was tied to referrals. In line with that, you can look forward to rewards on Coinbase if you share your referral link and others register. I can’t give a hard figure because the bonuses may or may not be up for grabs at any point. You have to check the referral section when you log in to confirm.
USD/USDC payments only
Throughout my Coinbase review, I only bought and sold contracts with USD or USDC. No other currency gets the nod on the site. On that note, the payment methods available are crypto, bank transfers, debit cards, wire transfers, PayPal, Apple Pay, and Google Pay.
Those payment methods don’t have a general minimum deposit. I funded my account with just $2 using a debit card and PayPal. The least you can trade in a Coinbase prediction market is $1, which is also on the low side.
For payouts, processing is often just a few minutes with USDC, debit cards, PayPal, and instant cashouts to bank accounts. I only hold my horses for 1 to 5 business days with standard bank and wire transfers.
Simple white-blue interface
Coinbase’s logo is white and blue. Those are the same colors you see once you land on the prediction market site. However, you can swap the white for black in dark mode.
It takes me just one, two, or three clicks to select an event. I have the top menu, which features all available prediction market categories, to thank for that.
Instead of USD prices, Coinbase uses percentages, so it’s easy to see which outcome the market believes is more likely. That’s part of the DNA of top prediction market brands. I know because I saw the same during my Gemini review, as well as on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Everything I praised about Coinbase’s interface is on both the website and mobile app – on iOS and Android. The latter is best for me because it lets me trade anywhere, anytime.
Coinbase's prediction market platform interface
Coinbase's prediction markets available on mobile
Multi-channel 24/7 support
I hit up Coinbase’s customer service via live chat. First, the virtual assistant answered. After a few prompts, it passed me to a real agent who was all eyes and ears for my questions.
In addition to live chat, the prediction market brand offers phone, email, and a contact form. Plus, the help center was a one-stop shop for everything I needed to understand the event contracts and trading.
Coinbase hits the mark for event trading
In my opinion, Coinbase’s 6+ prediction markets cover all the important bases for US traders. The CFTC regulates the contracts, and you get both web and mobile access. Plus, customer service is available at a moment’s notice for any questions or issues that come up. That’s why I believe this platform hits the mark.
The downside is that the trading fee schedule isn’t the most transparent. However, Coinbase always showed me the fees that apply before I pull the trigger on any trade. So, it’s a manageable hitch. If you’ve decided to trade on Coinbase, click the links on this page to visit the website and register.
Coinbase review FAQs
What is Coinbase Prediction Market?
Coinbase Prediction Market is a platform where you can buy or sell event contracts. Those contracts represent real-world outcomes and are in a simple Yes or No format.
Are Coinbase markets legal in the US?
Coinbase offers CFTC-regulated contracts in its prediction markets, so the site gets the federal green light in the US. However, it’s unavailable in [list-unavailable-states style="comma-separated" ox-bridge=and]. Check your state to see whether trading is legal.
How are Coinbase predictions paid out?
The event contracts pay out $1 if the prediction is correct. If incorrect, the payout is $0.