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Steve Merril

Steve Merril

(281) New England Patriots at (282) San Francisco 49ers

Event:
(281) New England Patriots at (282) San Francisco 49ers
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 29, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-115
Play:
4% – San Francisco 49ers -10.0 (-115)
Result:
Win
Analysis

-New England has lost 2 straight games since their opening win; major step-up in class now

-offense is averaging just 13 points per game vs. defenses that give up 19.4 points per game

-Patriots defense allowing 5.6 yards per play despite playing some weak offenses; bad matchup

-San Francisco returns home off 2 losses; 12-1 ATS (vs. -10.5) their last 13 regular season wins

-offense is averaging a solid 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play

-49ers defense is taking a huge step-down in class vs. a pedestrian offense; expect a big effort

4% Play 49ERS (-).

Line Parameter: 4% play (-10 or less).  3% play (-10.5 or more). 


 

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