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(165) Navy at (166) UAB   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Notre Dame -6.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sep 28, 2024 12:00 PM 

Line Provider: Multiple Outlets

3% Navy @ Alabama-Birmingham

The new Navy Hybrid “Wing T” under the direction of 1st year OC Drew Chronic is beginning to cause real headaches for opposing defenses. Good news for Navy…Alabama-Birmingham owns one of the worst rush defenses in all of FBS this season allowing 209 & 266 to UL-Monroe and Arkansas the L2G. They had a bye week prior to this but with limited tape and an up-tempo style offense it’s near impossible to simulate in practice what they’re going to see at game speed on the field. Figuring Navy’s multiple option offense which has incorporated the pass more this season (10/14/205/20.5 ypc LW at Memphis) to continue march up and down the field in large chunks. The Midshipmen currently average 8.6 yards per play which is #2 in the country. Defense is a different story and the Navy defensive weakness is likely to get exploited here by UAB. Up tempo balanced but pass efficient Blazers led by veteran QB Jacob Zeno (70.4% comp) is well aware of the 385 passing yards Memphis put up on Navy LW. Birmingham quick pace combined with Navy’s large yardage gains may not grind clock as much as usual when Middies play. Navy 11-11 in redzone scoring opportunities this season with all 11 being touchdowns which is conducive to high scoreboard results. Final scores in three Navy games this season have already sen two post 70 & 100. UAB meanwhile comes off a 64 (27-37) against Arkansas. Navy can score…UAB knows they have to score in this one…each will happen and price tag is reasonable.     

Play: Navy-Alabama-Birmingham OVER 56.5