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(191) Louisville at (192) Notre Dame   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Side

Play: Notre Dame -6.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sep 28, 2024 3:30 PM 

Line Provider: Consensus

3% Louisville @ Notre Dame

Prefer Notre Dame here for various reasons. Correlate Irish offensive path this season to that of Clemson which had a slow start, out of nowhere exploded, and then followed it up with another huge outburst. Notre Dame stumbled their way past Texas A&M looked lousy in an outright loss to Northern Illinois and then erupted for 66 against Purdue when “sharps” could bet Purdue fast enough. They followed that with a dominant 270 yard rushing performance (428 ty) in a very “vanilla-close to the vest” 28-7 walkthrough vs. Miami (Ohio). Like Clemson seems Notre Dame is finding their offensive identity which could be rough news for a Louisville squad that has demolished a pair of bottom feeders and then got outgained 410-326 in game where they got 14 of their 31 points from a ridiculous Haynes King attempted lateral inside his own 10 and a blocked FG return for TD. The 17 points & 326 ty generated at home last week is concerning since GTech’s defense has just been shredded for 515 yards by Syracuse. Louisville key skill injuries certainly played a role there and could again in this spot. Not sure Louisville can stand up at the point of attack on either here vs. Irish and also not sure they can consistently find yards against the talented ND secondary. Louisville has not faced anything close to an elite defense yet so this is a major step up in class. Revenge factor active here as well after Notre Dame lost @ Louisville 33-20 allowing 5 sacks in the process which lowered their game rushing total to 44 yards. Could double the redemption angle here if figuring in QB Riley Leonard whose Duke team last year was shut out 23-0 by the Cardinals. Different day different result here as tables look to be reversed but not recognizable by good portion of CFB bettors & fans. That equates to value when you peg the vague vision correctly before it comes clear. See this one as an overrated underdog gathering a hare to much respect in the line. Like Notre Dame by 10+.  

Play: Notre Dame -6.5