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8:40 PM ET -- MLB 

907 St. Louis Cardinals 
908 Colorado Rockies

Play: 908 COLORADO -103  

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -110 or better 
3% play at -111 to -120 
2% play at -121 to -130

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play ON underdogs smaller than +130 if they're coming off a loss as an underdog in which they had more hits than their season average, and their starter produced a Quality Start in his last start.
31-7 (82%) since May 9th (Colorado is 2-0 at home in this spot).
Average Line: +113.4
Return On Investment: 74.7%
Average Score: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.9

Since July 1st, Colorado is 10-1 in the first game of a series at home.
Average Line: +127.8
Return On Investment: 110.1%
Average Score: Colorado 5.9, Opponent 4.1