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(4%) ATLANTA BRAVES. Obviously, this is a huge game for both teams. Playing at home, I expect the Braves to have the advantage on Tuesday. Both starters have had strong seasons. Both have been sharp their last couple of starts. Severino isn't as good on the road though; he's 7-2 with a 2.96 ERA at home but 4-4 with a 4.80 ERA on the road. Also, he's only made one start at Atlanta the past couple of seasons and it didn't go well. He took the loss on that 8/15/23 day and has a 6.75 ERA to show for it. On the other hand, in his only career start against the Mets, Schwellenbach pitched seven scoreless innings, striking out a career-high 11 and allowing only two hits. I'm going Schwellenbach and the Braves. *Reduce to 3% if higher than -145