5:10 PM ET -- MLB 

975 San Francisco Giants 
976 Kansas City Royals

Play: 976 KANSAS CITY -147  

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -155 or better 
3% play at -156 to -165
2% play at -166 to -170

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play ON teams that have lost at least their last 3 games if it's not the first game of a series, they were a larger favorite than -143 in their previous game, and they're a larger favorite than -143 in the current game.  
42-0 since 8/26/2023
Average Score: Team 6.8, Opponent 2.5