10:10 PM ET -- MLB 

911 Colorado Rockies  
912 Los Angeles Dodgers

Play: UNDER 9  -120

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at 9 or better 
2% play at 8.5

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play UNDER on underdogs larger than +135 if their starter is coming off a start in which the team won against an opponent from the same league (AL vs AL or NL vs NL) and were trailing after 7 innings, they weren't an underdog of +145 or more in that game, and in that game the starter struck out at least 1 batter.
30-7-1 (81%) since 7/12/2022 
12-2 (86%) in division matchups like this one. 
Average Posted Total in Division Matchups: 8.4
Average Runs Scored in Division Matchups: 6.0