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9:40 PM ET -- MLB

969 Seattle Mariners 
970 Oakland Athletics

Play: OVER 8 -115

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at 8.5 or better  
2% play at 9

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play OVER on home underdogs with a win percentage better than 40% in Game 2 of a series if they won Game 1 as a home dog and their opponent's win percentage is below 60%.  36-21-3 (63.2%) since 2023.