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4:10 PM ET -- MLB 

917 Houston Astros 
918 Cincinnati Reds

Play: 917 HOUSTON -1.5  -105

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -115 or better 
2% play at -116 to -120

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON road favorites of -150 or more in the first game of a series if their opponent played extra innings the day prior. 
Average Score: Team 6.6, Opponent 3.5
52-13 (80%) SU, 26.4% ROI 
42-19 (69%) Run Line, 33% ROI