(965) Kansas City Royals at (966) Houston Astros

4% Houston Astros -155 A Marsh (RHP), R Blanco (RHP) Must Start

Houston went 11-1 from August 6th through August 19th, then went 2-6 before reeling off wins in their last 4 games scoring 24 runs with 41 hits. Astros are 15-3 as a HF of -135 plus versus a right-handed starter including going 11-2 since June 16th with the average win by 3.36 runs per game. Ronel Blanco with a .179 OBA at home and while he allowed 5 runs at home versus Boston two starts ago he allowed 2 runs at Philly in his last start and he has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts.

KC has now dropped 4 straight including the first 3 of this series dropping them to 9-18 as an Away Dog of +120 plus. Royals with 7 runs and 13 hits in their last 3 games. 

Teams in game #4 of a series as dog of +120 plus that lost the first 3 games as an Away Dog are 35-99 (26.1%) since 2015 (-29.2% ROI). Alec Marsch was sent to AAA in late July and on August 6th went 4 2/3 innings allowing 4 runs (2 earned) at Cleveland.