3% Rotation #200109: English Premier League Saturday 3% OVER 3.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Tottenham @ 8:30 AM ET - Hmm … this total is a 3.5 even though Newcastle has a 1-1 road draw and 1-0 home win thus far and Tottenham's only road match was a 1-1 draw as well. Must be a big mistake, right? Absolutely not and the goals should fly here. For one thing, Tottenham's season opener saw them absolutely dominate the 1st period at Leicester City and yet settle for only a 1-0 lead at half that then ended up an unreal 1-1 draw. It was a match that should have seen the Hotspur score at least 4 goals which, by the way, they then did score 4 goals in last week's home win. They will bring another strong effort here but Newcastle is known to be very strong on their home pitch and score very well here at home. Newcastle is off a 1-1 (win on penalty kicks) in English FA Cup action and garners some positive momentum from that result as well. In terms of expected increase in goal-scoring here, remember that in their season opener Newcastle had a red card at the '28 mark which was a big reason for the low-scoring result. Also, Bournemouth appeared to have scored the winning goal against Newcastle last week but it was mistakenly nullified by VAR. The point is that the goal-scoring for Newcastle has been understated for the reasons above and there is hidden value here, even in a big number, as an end result. The last 9 meetings between these clubs in Premier League matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece! Also. Tottenham has been one of the best clubs in the league already this season for shots on target as well as high-quality scoring chances. Between injury and suspension issues, the backline for Newcastle is a mess and Tottenham will take advantage here. However, the Hotspur have looked vulnerable on the counterattack already this season and they are fortunate they have not allowed more than one goal so far. At St James Park it will be tough for Tottenham to slow down the hosts and Newcastle has won the last two meetings here by a combined score of 10 to 1. Overall, the last 5 meetings here have averaged 5 goals apiece and the Over went a perfect 5-0 in those matches as all 5 totaled 4 or more goals. This takes that run to a PERFECT 6-0 the last six! 3% OVER 3.5 -110 in Newcastle United