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(205) Western Kentucky at (206) Alabama  (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 4%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 59.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Aug 31, 2024 7:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

4% - WESTERN KENTUCKY @ ALABAMA

ALABAMA OFFENSE UNDER NEW HC KALEN DEBOER

YES IT’S A NEW SYSTEM AND GENERALLY THOSE TAKE TIME TO BECOME COHESIVE AND THIS ONE WILL TOO

BUT A COUPLE THINGS HERE LEAD ME TO BELIEVE ALABAMA IS LIKELY HEADED TOWARD THE 40+ POINT MARK HERE

WESTERN KENTUCKY GAME PLAN HAS TO BE IFFY AT BEST SINCE THEY REALLY HAVE NO CLUE & NO ALBAMA GAME TAPE OF WHAT THEY’RE GOING TO SEE HERE

THEY CAN USE LAST YEAR’S WASHINGTON FILM BUT NOT SURE THAT’S HELPFUL ONCE THEY HIT THE FIELD

KALEN DEBOER RUNS THE BALL MORE THAN PERCIEVED AND ALABAMA’S RUN GAME FIGURS TO HAVE HUGE ADVANTAGE HERE

BOTH IN THE TRENCHES AND IN THE NEW SCHEME WHICH IS NOT JUST POWER RUN

PLUS DEBOER HAS MILROE AS A WEAPON NOW

WESTERN DEFENSIVELY SHOULD HAVE DIFFICULTY IN THE TRENCHES BOTH VS RUN AND IN PASS PROTECTION HERE

GAME COMP

LAST YEAR WESTERN KENTUCKY WENT TO OHIO STATE IN WEEK 3

IT WAS ONLY QB KYLE McCORD’S THIRD START AS A TRUE FRESHMAN – DID HE REALLY KNOW THE OFFENSE PERFECTLY?

HE THREW FOR HIS SEASON 358 YARDS (ONLY 27 PASS ATTEMPTS) / OHIO STATE RAN FOR 204 MORE AND THEY SCORED 63 POINTS

SOUNDS VERY SIMILAR TO THIS SATURDAY’S SITUATION EXCEPT YOU HAVE AN GAME EXPERIENCED DUAL THREAT QB NOW

WESTERN KENTUCKY OFFENSE VS ALABAMA DEFENSE 

VETERAN TRANSFER STARTING QB T.J. FINLEY WAS NOT OVERLY SUCCESSFUL DURING HIS SEC TIME AS A YOUNG QB 

BUT HE KNOWS THE SEC BRAND OF FOOTBALL AND HE’S MUCH MORE SEASONED & GAME READY NOW

WKU HAS BUILT THEIR REP ON BEING A HIGH OCTANE PASSING ATTACK OFFENSE AND WITH 9 STARTERS BACK THEY SHOULD BE DYNAMIC AGAIN

ALABAMA’S STRENGTH IS THEIR DL SO WESTERN 5 RETURNING OL STARTERS HAVE TO PROTECT DECENTLY HERE

CAN SEE THEIR STYLE OF PASSING GAME CAUSING SOME PROBLEMS FOR THE ‘BAMA DEFENSE LEARNING A NEW SYSTEM

FINAL LOOK 

ALABAMA OFFENSE VS WEAK WKU DEFENSE WITHOUT A LOT OF KNOWLEDGE TO PREP WITH

WESTERN KENTUCKY’S MISERABLE DEFENSIVE PERFPRMANCE IN STEP UP IN CLASS ON THE ROAD LY

WESTERN’S ABILITY TO STRIKE QUICK, BE EXPLOSIVE AND PUT POINTS ON THE SCOREBOARD

THESE TYPES OF HEAVY HOME FAVORITE GAMES NEED THE UNDERDOG TO BE A THREAT TO SCORE AND CHASE 

SO THE HOME CHALK DOESN’T JUST GO THROUGH THE 2H MOTIONS…WESTERN HAS THOSE TRAITS

ALL ADDS UP TO A GAME THAT SHOULD POST 61+ POINTS

PLAY: Total Over 59.5 (-110)